Bitcoin drawdown history: every 30%+ crash and how long recovery took

# Bitcoin drawdown history: every 30%+ crash and how long recovery took

> Data as of 2026-10-13. All figures computed by CoinCrypTick from real Binance daily closes — nothing quoted from third parties.

Where the market stands

Bitcoin trades at $83,325.27 (₹79,29,275), -27.6% over the past year and -33.2% below its all-time high. Its 30-day annualized volatility sits at 39%, and the deepest drawdown in its history was -83.2%.

Ethereum trades at $2,507.63, -40.9% over 12 months with 46% 30-day volatility and a maximum historical drawdown of -94.0%.

Bitcoin — last 12 months

| Month | Return | |---|---| | 2025-10 | -7.6% | | 2025-11 | -17.9% | | 2025-12 | +1.6% | | 2026-01 | -11.4% | | 2026-02 | -13.0% | | 2026-03 | +3.8% | | 2026-04 | +12.1% | | 2026-05 | -5.8% | | 2026-06 | -17.9% | | 2026-07 | +4.8% | | 2026-08 | +25.1% | | 2026-09 | +8.0% |

Ethereum — last 12 months

| Month | Return | |---|---| | 2025-10 | -11.5% | | 2025-11 | -22.8% | | 2025-12 | +6.2% | | 2026-01 | -18.4% | | 2026-02 | -13.5% | | 2026-03 | +8.5% | | 2026-04 | +5.5% | | 2026-05 | -12.6% | | 2026-06 | -21.7% | | 2026-07 | +15.7% | | 2026-08 | +33.8% | | 2026-09 | +11.1% |

What a ₹8,000/month SIP would have done

A monthly SIP of $100 (~₹8,300) started at 111 months ago would have grown to $61,818.02 on Bitcoin (+456.9% total, 20.4% CAGR). The same SIP on Ethereum returns +362.8% (18.0% CAGR).

Use computed drawdown periods; link to /coins/bitcoin/drawdown.

Use the Crypto SIP Calculator to model your own monthly amount, the Free Crypto Screener to shortlist coins, and the Bitcoin Volatility Analysis page to see how drawdowns historically recovered before sizing a position.

Methodology

All numbers are computed by CoinCrypTick from daily closes on Binance (BTCUSDT / ETHUSDT). CAGR uses exact window boundaries; volatility is annualized from daily log returns; DCA assumes $100 on the 1st of each month with fees ignored. Not financial advice.